關於 predicted中文 ，我們在網路上蒐集到這些相關的討論、資訊與評價

你考完 mock，學校老師畀你嘅 predicted grade 係「U 至 5**」，你滿唔滿意？🙂⁣
「梗係唔滿意啦！鬼唔知阿媽係女人咩？U 至5 ** 洗鬼佢 predict 呀？」🌚⁣
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呢啲時候，賭 Sir 最鍾意包拗頸：⁣
「點解唔滿意？但係我有【99% 信心】佢個 predicted grade 係講中！咁靈都唔滿意？」⁣
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係咪覺得有啲唔妥？但係又好似講唔出有咩唔妥？等我講你知：⁣
其實，我哋除咗渴望一個預測要夠「準繩」之外，仲渴望佢夠「精確」。⁣
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舉個例：⁣
例一：準繩 ✅、精確❌——預測賭 Sir 拎「U至5**」裏面其中一個 grade⁣
例二：準繩 ❌、精確✅——預測賭 Sir 拎「95.432%」嘅得分⁣
例三：準繩 ✅、精確✅——預測賭 Sir 拎「5**」⁣
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套返落去 M 1嘅 concepts，我哋對 prediction 有 2 個要求：⁣
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1️⃣ 要準繩！即係 confidence level 要高⁣
2️⃣ 要精確！即係 confidence interval 要窄⁣
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言歸正傳，若然要縮窄 confidence interval、即係想精確嘅話，第一個方法當然係「放棄準繩」，好似例二咁，亂咁 up 啲好精確嘅嘢，喺件事發生之前有咁仔細、講咁仔細，反正未發生，只要厚面皮大膽講，就可以 draw 到好多 attention，依家香港好多 KOL 都係咁搵食，歡迎自行對號入座😌⁣
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當然，如此「降低 confidence Level 以換取 narrow confidence interval」嘅策略，係一個好唔負責任嘅方法啦！咁有冇兩全其美嘅方法呢？🤤⁣
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有🤩 就係增加 sample size。用返你考 mock 嘅例子，就係要你考多好多個 mock！！！易明吖～越考得多，就越能夠反映出你嘅真正實力嘛！自然就越容易作出「準繩+精確」嘅預測。而用返你教科書啲公式，就係令分母嘅 n 上升，縮窄 confidence Interval。⁣
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不過，增加 sample size 有金錢成本 + 時間成本，所以唔能夠無止境地增加🤥 而「假設」你真係能夠無限量增加 sample size，令到 n 變成無限，你望下條公式，分母變咗無限，即係個 confidence interval 嘅 width 變埋 0，令 prediction 完全準繩，又完全精確啦！⁣
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邊個可以做到？上帝囉！或者，你都得！🥳 只要你能夠預先知道咗一件事，甚至呢件事就係由你控制，然後喺其他人面前扮預測，得咗！社會上好多人都係咁做，局中人揸住內幕料，對住公眾扮預測，咁梗係又準繩又精確啦！😍⁣
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#M1解題王 會以題目 keyword 切入，同你極速 KO M1 題目；記住 Save 低個 post，方便你大考前攞出嚟溫🔥⁣
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🎲賭Sir｜高階數學考試專家⁣
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🎓21 項數學公開試．以一 Take 過考取完美戰績⁣
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DSE：Math+M1+M2【5**】⁣
CE & AL：Math+A.Math+Pure+Applied【A】⁣
IAL：C12+C34+F1+F2+F3+M1+M2+M3+S1+S2+S3+D1【A】⁣
IGCSE：Mathematics+Further Pure Mathematics 【9】⁣
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🖥最高人氣補習網紅・貼地教數別樹一格⁣
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頻道 #杜氏數學 2016年創辦，訂閱65,000+，多條教學影片點擊100,000+；2018年獲出版社邀請，撰寫暢銷書《5**數學男人嫁得過》推廣「聰明應試」理念，並鼓勵年青人堅守自信。⁣
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🧠以心理學、高效學習融入補習教育當中⁣
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從中文大學風險管理學士畢業之後，鑽研超速學習法（Ultralearning）及教育心理學，將高效學方法先行用於自己身上，無間斷學習新知識；四年後重返校園，完成中文大學數學碩士（大數據分析）課程，期間考入門薩學會（Mensa），實證超速學習法。⁣
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🏆座右銘⁣
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好多人以為自己因為對數學無興趣，所以數學低分；事實剛好相反：因為自己數學低分，所以對數學無興趣。試諗下，若然你有歌神嘅聲線，你仲會對唱歌無興趣嗎？⁣
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#數學 #DSE #dser #math #maths #afterschool #dsemath #examskills #mathtutor #followme #2021DSE #2022DSE #2023DSE #tutor #mathtutor #DSEfighter #tutotial⁣

【國立臺灣大學 109學年度畢業典禮 貴賓致詞】
Commencement Address, National Taiwan University Commencement 2021

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巨大集團 羅祥安前執行長
Giant Group Former CEO Anthony Lo

管校長，羅副校長，各位貴賓，畢業生的家長跟朋友們，還有今天最重要的2021年臺大的畢業生，大家早安、大家好！

首先恭喜你們，今天從全世界最優秀大學之一的臺灣大學畢業了！
在過去幾年，在管校長，以「大學教改」和「國際化」的理念，率領全體師生的努力之下，臺大在全世界的能見度，和各項排名，都有顯著的進步，也讓身為校友的我們倍感光榮。

是不是我們大家一起鼓掌，給自己鼓勵一下好不好！

你們今天剛剛畢業，但是你們已經創造了臺大一項新的紀錄：第一次，沒有傳統畢業典禮的畢業生。這將是你們人生一個非常特別的回憶，也預表了你們未來將會有與眾不同的表現，和非凡的成就。

現在的世界，局勢是在東方跟西方的勢力，彼此對抗而動盪不安。而全世界的經濟活動，也因為科技的突破性創新，而受到很大的影響。不盡理想的、不盡公平的全球化，也將逐漸地變成 全球在地化。而COVID-19肆虐全球的結果，使得臺灣跟全世界，大家的生活型態、社會的結構、經濟活動的節奏都被打亂了，而必須要加以全面的整理跟重新的架構。這當然是一個危機，但是更是一個絕好的機會。所以，將你們迎面而來的，是無數的創新的機會，以及冒險卻令人興奮的全新挑戰。

因為臺灣，這是第一次跟全世界各個國家，同步的站在一個嶄新的共同起跑點上面。所以我要恭喜你們，你們躬逢其會，將要進入一個充滿希望、嶄新的時代。

我是1969年從臺大畢業的，所以我想今天就以我畢業之後的50多年，人生的一些學習和體會，來跟諸位分享，給諸位作個參考。

當我大學畢業的時候，我滿懷抱負，迫不及待地想要大展身手，我當時進入臺灣最大的貿易公司工作，但是我發現我所學的很多東西，只有一些國際貿易的實務跟英文有用，至於其他我所學習到的經營管理的很多知識，恐怕都要等到10年、20年之後，如果我有幸當上高級主管才能派上用場。

更諷刺的是，我是商學系畢業的，但是工作兩年後，我發現我真的不喜歡做商人，我也不喜歡做生意，我有興趣的是做事業。

後來，幸好我有聆聽我心裡面的微弱的聲音，決定踏進自行車業，放棄掉台北最好的貿易公司的金飯碗，而去參加在大甲一個只有38個人的小公司，來追求我的夢想。

那時候許多人認為我腦筋有問題，頭殼壞去，但現在回顧回來，我當時是做了人生一個非常好的決定。

創業的過程飽受艱辛，但是我也學到了很多寶貴的經驗：我首先學到的，是在做事之前，必須要先學做人。

人必須要誠信踏實，不能自私自利，而要利他共好。

要隨時心存感恩，尊重、關切別人。要熱愛這個世界，並且要了解到一個人的能力是有限的，而必須要去建立互信、互助的人際關係；要融入群體、要發揮團隊的精神。

在做事方面，一定要以正面積極的態度，認真努力去工作。 而且不要怕失敗，要勇於接受新的挑戰。因為如果有失敗了，那只是代表說你又更靠近成功一步了。要作中學，學中作，要虛心好奇的終身學習，開拓挑戰、追求卓越。

在這裡，我想要送給大家一個很特別的畢業禮物，就是兩個「成功的錦囊」。
第一個錦囊：不管你做什麼工作，不論你職務的高低，永遠都要站在顧客的立場，來為他們設想，還能做什麼，讓他們能夠得到更多的創新價值。

第二個錦囊：無論作什麼工作，不管你職務的高低，永遠都要站在經營者的角度來為公司設想，要做什麼，才能讓公司更健康，永續經營跟發展。

既使你們把我後面講的很多東西都忘記了，沒關係，但是這個畢業禮物你們一定要記得帶回去，因為這些「同理心」的兩個錦囊，在未來會給你們帶來意想不到的祝福！

其次我體會到，名跟利都是副產品。正產品是你成為什麼樣的人，成就什麼樣的事。當正產品是對的時候，名跟利都自然會來。

所以我鼓勵大家在找工作的時候，不要太計較開始的薪水和待遇。因為事實上，一個新人，在前面三年是很難有大的貢獻的，反過來只是公司發薪水來給你培訓而已。所以選擇一個有意義的行業，找一家你可以學習進步的好公司，這才是重要的。

第三，我學習到 知識不等於智慧。諸位都學有專精，有很多寶貴的知識，但這些知識必須要實際去做才能夠產生經驗，而累積的時候會有不同經驗的反省、學習、跟體會，尤其是從那些失敗的經 驗，才能夠漸漸地凝結成有用的智慧。
我的成長過程分成三段，開始我是一個「I」型的人，我擁有一些經營管理的基本的能力。後來因為工作的需要和我的好奇心，我漸漸地學習到技術開發、製造生產、品牌推廣、全球經營、以及行銷、服務等等寶貴的經驗，這樣漸漸地，我就形成一個「T」型的一個跨界的人才。但是到了我真正找到公司未來的使命跟方向，並且把它跟我的人生目標結合在一起，熱情的、積極去推動的時候，那時候我終於成為一個「十字架」型的一個領導者。

當公司發展得比較穩定之後，我就面臨要如何來替公司規劃願景、使命、定位，跟長期策略。在這個階段，我有一些新的體會：首先，你必須要能夠畫出一個「黃金正三角形」，正三角形是最穩定的，上面是戰略，中間是戰術，下面是戰鬥。先要有正確的戰略，才能衍伸出有效的戰術，再根據這個戰術去貫徹戰鬥的執行。換言之，戰略就是做對的事情，戰術就是對的方法，戰鬥就是用對的方法去把事情做對做好，並且不斷地去持續改善。

想要能夠思考出長期的戰略，就必須要有洞察力。

我很喜歡看地球儀，就是那種在一個架子上面，有一個可以轉動的地球模型。當你把地球轉動的時候，你看到上面每一個地方、每一個國家，它的地理位置、它的自然生態，以及你思考它的歷史的演變跟它的發展，這樣子你就能夠得出一個整體的，跟全方位的一個概念。

在思考長期戰略的時候，很不容易得出一個有突破性的一個創見，它的原因往往是因為「當局者迷」的關係。

所以當我考慮長期戰略的時候，我會把自己設想，好像從一個人造衛星上面，來觀看一個轉動的地球。以宇宙格局的高度，以全球視野的廣度，以歷史演進的長度，這樣子你就能夠以一個「旁觀者清」的姿態和角度，來正面、反面深入思考，這樣子你就可能得到一個突破性的一個解答。「世界的捷安特」跟「全球在地化」的品牌經營—這樣子的策略、願景就是這樣產生的。

另外一種洞察力，是如何推出給人們有創新價值的產品跟服務。這就要時時地站在人文跟科技的十字路口，仔細觀察它們的變化，然後活用科技的進步，為人文潛在的需求，適時地提供最佳的解決方案。捷安特的Cycling世界，就是用這種方法，不斷的推出創新價值的產品。

我們在經營上也有發展出一個特別的理念，那就是「不求第一，要作惟一」。全世界的人這麼多，但沒有兩個人的指紋是一樣的， 所以每一個人都是獨一無二、都是惟一的。可見當上帝造每一個人的時候，祂都有衪特別的計劃，而且也把成功所需要的能力跟要素，已經放在你的心中，等待你取用。所以每一個人不應該只是模仿別人，或者是按照別人的期望來生活，而應該要找出並且發揮自己的天賦，真正做自己，成為惟一，才能夠活出精采的生命。

企業也是一樣，不能隨波逐流，必須要找出什麼才是對的，什麼是合適你的，什麼才是有意義、對這個世界有貢獻的，這個才是惟一。當你精益求精，努力的想要成為惟一的時侯，你才能夠找到真正正確的目標，以及永續生存的價值。如果事事都想為第一，那麼你可能去追求很多不切實際的目標，而被你無法承受的巨大壓力所摧毀。或者，因為不擇手段，最後走上一些錯誤的道路。
在長期追求惟一的過程當中，我也得到兩個重要的體會：當你決心做一件對的事情，而且不屈不撓，勇敢堅持奮鬥的時候，全宇宙的力量都會起來幫助你。另外，把一件有意義的事情，用生命的力量把它作好，你就有可能改變這個世界！

我鼓勵你們，聆聽你們內心深處的微小的聲音，讓它引導你們，去尋找到你們的天賦，了解你們的命定。

不求第一，要作惟一。做你真正的自己，成為惟一。活出你精彩的生命，享受你幸福的人生！

很多人說，生長在臺灣的人，一輩子裡面一定要完成三項挑戰：登玉山、泳渡日月潭、還有騎自行車環島。我覺得這非常有道理。所以我建議大家在畢業以後，在去當兵、就業之前，不妨參加一個自行車環島的旅行團，用九天的時間，仔細的去體會、欣賞寶島臺灣的美好，用自行車的輪胎去親吻，這塊生你長你的美麗大地，就當作是送給你自己的一個畢業禮物吧！

那教授們跟家長們，可能會想說，啊！太可惜了，我畢業的時候沒有騎自行車環島，我現在已經五六十歲了。沒關係，你這個年紀正好來從事人生的壯遊。
我們臺大的校長－管校長，在今年的一月份，就勇敢的完成他夢寐以求的自行車環島的壯遊。我們給管爺一個掌聲好不好？

有人認為臺灣很小、沒有前途，真的是這樣嗎？世界經濟論壇每年都要把全世界的國家的實力做一個調查跟排名。讓我們來看一下臺灣的排名。全世界有235個國家，就面積來講，我們排名第137；就人口來講，第57；就經濟體來講，第21；就整體競爭力來講，排名第11；而創新力，臺灣排名第4。沒錯，臺灣的確不大，但是我們很強，我們可以很有前途！

可預見的，未來的世界將會成為美、歐、亞三區鼎力的這個新局面。就像三個圓圈，各自都以自己的利益為優先，並且彼此長期的競爭、對抗和抵制，但是同時又不得不相互的維持一些必要的連結。而在每一個圈裡面，它將持續的有很多劇烈的改變，就像一個暴風圈一樣。而這三個暴風圈連結在一起，就形成一個所謂完全風暴PERFECT STORM。

最近經濟學人雜誌，把臺灣當作封面，稱臺灣為地球上最危險的地方，但同時又是科技業最關鍵的地方。我個人倒認為，未來臺灣可能是處在一個最有利的地位，就在那三個暴風圈中間的那個颱風眼，也就是這三個圈圈彼此連結交會的中心點。這個地方看起來好像危險，其實是最安全、最有利、又是最關鍵的地方。

當三個暴風圈無可避免的，參與在一個長期的競爭、對抗、跟抵制－這樣一個零和的賽局裡面。那臺灣並不屬於任何一個圈圈，也不需要去參與這些競爭、對抗跟抵制。而可以去想說，我可以在這個關鍵的中心點，替這個世界來提供什麼樣子的創新價值的貢獻。

臺灣過去50年的努力累積了很多技術開發、製造管理、金融資本，社會資源，以及民主法治體制，這些稀有而寶貴的實力。而且如果以全世界作為舞台，那麼，能夠精通中文跟英文、能夠深切的了解東方西方的文化；有專業，又能跨界，謙卑而不自卑，自信而不自大的臺灣人，可能是全世界最優秀的人才。

未來無法被預測，但是可以被創造！30年前，有誰能夠預測到說臺灣會產生世界級的台積電跟捷安特？

台積電秉持著作惟一的理念，以全球晶圓代工的戰略，厚植實力，打造了優質高效的供應鏈，把臺灣變成一個科技島。以臺灣為核心，轉動引領全世界的半導體市場。

捷安特也秉持著作惟一的理念，以世界的捷安特，全球在地化的品牌戰略，帶領A-Team把臺灣變成全世界高級車的中心，又積極的推動Cycling的新文化，把臺灣發展成一個自行車島，以臺灣為核心，轉動引領全世界自行車的市場。
在這裡我也期許我們臺大，也能夠以作惟一這樣子的理念，轉動引領世界，變成全世界最優秀人才培養的最佳搖籃。

未來的50年，臺灣將迎來前所未有最大的機運！所以臺灣是不是應該要脫離過去單純競爭的心態，而來積極的謀求長期的未來生存之道，或者更進一步要問自己：臺灣可以為世界貢獻些什麼？臺灣不應該只是消極的「根留臺灣」，而應該更主動積極的「放眼全球、立足亞太、深根臺灣」。

臺灣過去的50年，那是一個非常艱辛跟特別的階段。很慶幸的，臺灣在那個階段裡面，是屬於勝利的這一組。

現在是應該到了必須要了解過去、深入現在、策劃未來，這個重要關鍵的時刻。要如何的以宇宙格局的高度、以全球視野的廣度、以及歷史演進的長度，衡外情，量己力，來為臺灣重新的定位，重新畫一個正確的戰略、戰術、戰鬥的黃金三角形。讓臺灣能夠真正發揮自己的長處，能夠打造創新價值的優勢，成為惟一、做Only One！要能夠創造一個更安全、更廣闊、更興盛－全新的藍海。臺灣必須要成為世界的好公民，繼續的為全世界做更多、更好的貢獻！
2021的畢業生們，在你們當中有未來國家的領導人、有全球企業的創造者、有在社會各行各業、方方面面的核心人才，所以臺灣未來50年的未來，就掌握在你們手中了。

最後，我想用一位著名科學家的名言來作結尾： Life is like riding a bicycle. To keep your balance, you must keep moving. 人生就像騎自行車，要保持你平衡最好的方法，就是繼續不斷地向前進。

你知道這是誰的名言嗎？ 沒錯，就是愛因斯坦！

2021的畢業生們，請你騎上你人生的自行車，勇敢的向前邁進，去開創你獨一無二、精彩無比的新生命跟未來。再一次，恭喜你們，並且祝福你們每一位，將來都能夠有健康、幸福、精彩跟有意義的人生！
謝謝！

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President Kuan, Executive Vice President Luo, Distinguished guests, family, friends, and most importantly, the graduating class of 2021, good morning!

First of all, congratulations! Today, you are graduating from one of the best universities in the world – National Taiwan University!

Over the last few years, President Kuan led the university forward with his vision of “educational reform” and internationalization”. Together with all the faculty and students, NTU has made significant progress in both ranking and global visibility, making us, alumni, extremely proud.

I think we deserve to give ourselves a round of applause!

You are the graduating class of 2021 and already, you have set a new record for NTU: For the first time, there will not be a traditional graduation ceremony. Let this be a very special memory of your life and a sign of the difference you will make in your future with extraordinary achievements.

The world is now in a volatile state where the East and the West are confronting each other. The world’s economic activities are also greatly affected by the breakthrough and innovations in technology. The less-than-ideal and less-than fair globalization will gradually become global localization. And as a result of COVID-19, Taiwan and the rest of the world’s lifestyle, social structure, and economy have been disrupted, and must be comprehensively reorganized and restructured. This is certainly a crisis, but in the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity. So, what lies before you are countless opportunities for innovation, and exciting new challenges.

Because, for the first time, Taiwan is standing with the rest of the world on a new race-track. Therefore, I would like to congratulate you, you are entering a new era full of hope.

I graduated from NTU in 1969. It has been more than 50 years and today, I would like to share some of my life experiences and insights.

When I graduated from college, I was filled with ambition. I couldn’t wait to make my mark. I joined one of the largest trading companies in Taiwan, where I quickly realized the only materials I learned in school that came in handy are a little bit of international trade practices and English. Much of what I had learned about business management would only be relevant 10 or 20 years down the road, if I was lucky enough to become a senior executive.

What’s even more ironic is that I graduated with a degree in business, but after working for 2 years, I realize I really don’t like being a businessman, and I don’t like doing business. What I am actually interested in is building an enterprise.

Fortunately, I chose to listen to the faint voice in my heart and decided to enter the bicycle industry. I left my position at the best trading company in Taipei to join a small company with only 38 employees in Dajia to pursue my dream.

At the time, many people thought I must’ve broken my skull and gone crazy, but looking back, I have made a great decision in my life.

The process of starting my own enterprise has been very difficult, but I have learned many valuable lessons. The first thing I learned is that before you can do anything else, you have to learn to be a person of good character.

We must be honest, down to earth, selfless, self-serving, and altruistic for the common good.

Be grateful, respectful and caring at all times. To love the world and to understand that one person’s ability is limited and that is necessary to build interpersonal relationships of mutual trust and support; to be part of a group and to play as a team.

When it comes to work, you must work hard with a positive attitude. And don’t be afraid to fail, be brave enough to accept new challenges. Because every time you fail, it just means you are one step closer to success. Learning is an active process. We learn by doing. We must stay open-minded and curious, aspiring to lifelong learning; to explore challenges and pursue excellence.

Here I would like to give everyone a special graduation gift, which are my two tips for success:
First, always put yourself in the customer’s shoes, regardless of what you’re doing or what kind of job title you hold. Think for them, think about what else you can do to create more value for the customers.

Second, regardless of what you’re doing or what kind of job title you hold, always think about the company from the proprietor’s point of view; what can we do to build a healthier company that’s sustainable.

Even if you are going to forget everything I say later, that’ ok. Just remember to take your graduation gift at heart, because these two tips on “empathy “are sure to bring you unexpected blessings in the future!

Later on, I realized that fame and money are merely byproducts. The real product is you, what kind of person you have become and what have you achieved. When the real product is identified, fame and money will come naturally.

So I encourage you, when you look for a job, don’t be too concerned about the starting salary and benefits. Because as a matter of fact, as a newcomer, it is very difficult to make a big contribution in the first three years, so really the company is paying to give you training instead. So choose a meaningful industry and find a good company where you can improve and grow, that’s what’s important.

Thirdly, I learned that knowledge is not the same as wisdom. All of you have learned a lot and have a lot of valuable knowledge, but this knowledge must be practiced in order to produce experience, and in the process of accumulation, there will be different experiences of reflection, learning and empathy, especially from failure, slowly and surely all these experiences will be condensed into useful wisdom.

My personal development can be divided into three stages. I began as a I-shaped person with some basic skills in business management. Later on, due to my job and curiosity, I gained respected experience in technology development, manufacturing, branding, global marketing, and service and thus gradually becoming a T-shape multidisciplinary professional.

However, when I combined the future mission and direction of the company with my life goals, promoting it enthusiastically and actively, that is when I finally became a X-shape transdisciplinary leader.

Once the company became more stable, I was faced with the challenge of planning the vision, mission, positioning, and long-term strategy for the company. At this stage, I had some new insights.

First, you must be able to draw a “golden triangle”, an equilateral triangle is the most stable shape with strategy on top, tactics in the middle, and operations at the bottom. In other words, the strategy is to do the right thing, the tactics is the using the right methods, and operations is using the right methods to excel on doing the right things while constantly improving them.

To develop long-term strategies, it is necessary to have insight.

I enjoy looking at the globe, yes, the spherical model of Earth that sits on a stand and can be rotated. When you rotate the globe, you can see every place and country on it, its geographical location, its natural ecology, and you can think about its historical evolution and development, so that you can come up with an overall comprehensive concept.

When thinking about long-term strategy, it is not easy to come up with a groundbreaking idea, because “men are often blind in their own cause”

Therefore, when I think about long-term strategy, I imagine myself as if I were looking at a rotating Earth from a man-made satellite. With the height of the universe, the breadth of global vision and the length of historical evolution, you will be able think about it from the perspective of an observer, and then you may have a breakthrough. This is how the strategy and vision of “GIANT for the World” and “glocalization” brand management came about.

Another kind of insight is how to introduce the products and services to create additional value to people. This requires standing at the crossroads of humanity and technology, observing their changes carefully, and then using technological advances to provide the best solutions for the potential needs of humanity in a timely manner. This is how GIANT’s Cycling World continues to introduce innovative values to its products.

We have also developed a special philosophy in our business, which is “don’t be the first one, be the only one”. There are so many people in the world, but no two people share the same fingerprints, making each person unique and one of a kind. God created each person with purpose and has gifted us with the abilities and elements needed for success. All of which is in your heart, waiting for you to take them. Therefore, we should not just follow each other’s footstep or live under the expectations of someone else. Instead, we should find and give reigns to our talents, to truly be ourselves, to become the only one and live a brilliant life.

The same applies to businesses, you can’t just go with the flow, we must find what is right and suitable and what is meaningful and contributive to the world, this is what it means to be the only one. When you strive for excellence and strive to be the only one, you will find the right goals and the value of sustainability. If you try to be first in everything, you may pursue many unrealistic goals and either be destroyed by unbearable pressure or resort to doing whatever it takes, and end up on the wrong path.

I have learned two important lessons in my long quest to be the “only one”. When you are determined to do the right thing and you are unyielding and persistent in your struggle, the power of the universe will rise up and help you. In addition, if you do something meaningful and do it well with the power of life, you may change the world.

I urge you to listen to the small voice deep within you and let it guide you to find your talents and understand your destiny.

Do not seek to be the first but to be the only. Be true to yourself and be the only one. Live your life to the fullest and enjoy your life to the fullest!

Many people say that growing up in Taiwan, you must complete three challenges in your lifetime: climb to the top of Jade Mountain, swim across Sun Moon Lake, and ride a bike around the island. I think this is very true. Therefore, I suggest that after graduation, before you go to the military or get a job, you might as well join a bicycle tour around the island and spend nine days to carefully experience and appreciate the beauty of Taiwan. As a graduation gift to yourself, let the tires kiss the beautiful land where you were born and raised.

All the professors and parents must be thinking in regret, “Ah! Too bad! I didn’t ride my bike around the island when I graduated and now I’m already in my 50s and 60s…” But that’s okay! You are actually at the perfect age to start your adventurous life.

Our President of NTU, President Kuan bravely completed his dream bike tour around the island in January this year. Let’s give President Kuan a round of applause!

Some people think that Taiwan is small and has no future. Every year, the World Economic Forum conducts a survey and ranking of the strength of countries around the world. Let’s take a look at Taiwan’s ranking. There are 235 countries in the world and we rank 137th in terms of landmass, 57th in terms of population, 21st in terms of economy, 11th in terms of overall competitiveness, and 4th in terms of innovation. It’s true that Taiwan is not big, but we are strong and we have a promising future.

In the foreseeable future there will become a new situation in which the United States, Europe and Asia will be the three focal regions. Just like three circles, each of which prioritizes its own interests and is in long-term competition, confrontation and resistance, but at the same time has to maintain some necessary links with each other. And in each circle, drastic changes will be endless, just like a storm circle. These three storm circles are linked together to form a so-called PERFECT STORM.

The Economist magazine recently featured Taiwan on its cover, calling it the most dangerous place on earth, but at the same time the most critical place for the technology industry. Personally, I think that Taiwan may be in the most favorable position in the future, right in the middle of the three storm circles, the eye of the typhoon, which is the center point where these three circles are connected. This place seems dangerous, but in fact it is the safest, most favorable, and most critical place.

When the three storm circles are inevitably involved in a long-term competition, confrontation, and boycott - a zero-sum game. Taiwan does not belong to any of these circles, nor does it need to participate in these competitions, confrontations, and boycotts. Instead, situated in this critical position, I should begin to think about what kind of innovative value I can provide to the world.

Taiwan's efforts over the past 50 years have accumulated many rare and valuable strengths in technology development, manufacturing management, financial capital, social resources, and the democratic rule of law system. If the world is our stage, Taiwanese people who are proficient in Chinese and English, who have a deep understanding of Eastern and Western cultures, who are professional, who can cross borders, who are humble but not inferior, and who are confident but not arrogant, may be the best talents in the world.

The future cannot be predicted, but it can be created! 30 years ago, who could have predicted that Taiwan would produce globally renowned TSMC and GIANT?
TSMC is committed to the concept of being the only one, and has built up its strengths with its global foundry strategy, creating a high-quality and efficient supply chain and turning Taiwan into a technology island. With Taiwan as the core, TSMC is leading the worldwide semiconductor market.

GIANT also upholds the concept of "Be the only one" and leads the A-Team to turn Taiwan into the center of the world's premium bikes with the brand strategy of globalization and localization, and actively promotes the new culture of cycling, developing Taiwan into a cycling island and leading the world's cycling market with Taiwan as the core.

Here I also hope that we, NTU, can also lead the world with the concept of being the only one, and become the best cradle for the cultivation of the best talents in the world.

In the next 50 years, Taiwan will have the greatest opportunity ever! Therefore, Taiwan should get rid of the simple competitive mentality of the past and actively seek the long-term survival of the future, or go even further and ask itself: What can Taiwan contribute to the world? Taiwan should not just "secure Taiwan" in a conservative way, but should be more proactive with global outlook and establish a foothold in the Asia Pacific.

The last 50 years, for Taiwan, has been very difficult and significant. Fortunately, Taiwan pulled through and came out as one of the winners.

Now is the crucial moment to understand the past, delve into the present, and plan for the future. We must take the height of the universe, the breadth of our global vision, and the length of historical evolution, weigh the external situation, and measure our own strengths to reposition Taiwan and draw the golden triangle of strategy, tactics, and operations. Taiwan should be able to give full play to its strengths, create innovative value, and become the only one! Taiwan must become a good citizen of the world and continue to make more and better contributions to the world!

Graduates of 2021, among you are the future leaders of the country, the creators of global enterprises, and the core talents in all walks of life, the future is in your hands.
Finally, I would like to conclude with a quote from a famous scientist: Life is like riding a bicycle. To keep your balance, you must keep moving.

Do you know who this quote belongs to? That's right, Einstein!

Graduates of 2021, please get ready for your life adventure, get on your bikes and peddle courageously forward to create your own unique and exciting future. Again, congratulations and best wishes to each and every one of you for a healthy, happy, and meaningful life!

Thank you!

詳見：
https://www.facebook.com/NTUCommencement/posts/2718162161807541

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#臺灣大學 #畢業典禮 #NTUCommencement2021 #貴賓致詞 #羅祥安

【全球10億人口居家隔離，似乎第三次世界大戰開打，疫情危機下，全球職場看似冷颼颼～最難求職季ing？是最大危機？還是高薪轉機，你如何突破重圍？6大秘訣全分享】

如果，在2019年中旬的時候和你說 –

全球旅遊產業將進入寒冬；
所有航空公司面臨前所未有的資金鏈斷裂危機；
美股熔斷N次+ N國降息；
幾十個國家同時鎖國；
全球學生總數一半8.6億學生停課…
而且以上同時發生，

你會相信嗎？

我想大多數的人都不會，但是，這是我們現在都共同面對的每天新日常。不管你身在何處，新型冠狀病毒蔓延全球，每一個人的生活和工作都在遭受巨大的變化。

中國大陸累計超過8萬人確診，死亡人數超過3千；義大利逼近6萬人確診，死亡人數破5千，美國和整個歐洲成了重災區，全球有10億人居家隔離。

在疫情爆發之前，對於第三次世界大戰有很多預測，台海危機也曾經被當成是導火線的可能性之一，但是大家都沒有想到，這次的疫情在全球擴散，我們的敵人不是不同國家的人，而是看不見的病毒，有很多人用第三次世界大戰來形容這次的病毒危機 -- 147國淪陷、確診超過32萬、死亡破1.3萬、40多國封閉邊境，全球進入大鎖國時代，此次抗疫戰爭不知何時落幕，而最讓人擔憂的是，可能，最糟糕的情況還沒來。

#疫情變職場危機
最近好幾個粉絲和我分享，他們目前遇到沒有預期的職場危機。有一個在南韓濟州島工作的女生，因為一個有發展前景以及晉升的工作機會，雖然薪水沒有很大的漲幅，但是她決定回到台灣發展，但沒想到，回來不到半年，就被資遣了。目前她面臨失業、心情調整、再度準備找工作、台灣薪資平均達不到預期、疫情影響職場…等綜合問題，形勢嚴峻，讓她非常灰心。

#疫情變失業潮
因為疫情，全球的經濟動蕩不安，也因為疫情，可能會掀起多國失業潮。根據聯合國國際勞工組織的預估，疫情可能會造成全球大約530萬至2470萬人失去工作（此數據是按照2019年底全球1.88億失業人數作為基數去推算的）。失業人口的增加，同時也代表勞工人口的收入大幅減少。據報告推測，全球民眾的收入會在2020年底前蒸發大約8600億至3.4萬億美元，這同也會導致消費減少，為眾多產業帶來負面影響。

#危機下的轉機 #雲端會議軟體行業正夯
看到這些數字是不是讓人非常沮喪，就想要直接爬進棉被裏，倒頭大睡，不管外面發生的事情，這樣做，暫時性地可以讓你忘記煩惱，但是等到醒了，還是要面對現實。老話說危機就是轉機，即便是疫情肆虐，一家店接著一家的關門大吉，一波接著一波的人員失業，有些行業和公司正在經歷著轉機和大幅成長。

Zoom雲端會議軟體公司股價累計已漲58.52%，創辦人袁征的身家也跟著飆升了57%/20億美元（約604.4億元台幣），達到56億美元（約1692.32億元台幣）。因為隨著疫情蔓延，辦公室關閉、交通中斷發、國際交流大多數轉為線上、各種會面紛紛取消，各行各業對Zoom雲端會議軟體需求激增，辦公室會議、商業會議、大學授課…等，都開始轉向線上視訊。很多其他類似公司，例如Skype, Webex, 也在經歷同樣的大幅成長。

#WorkingfromhomeDay1 #Workingfromhome
今天是Joyce整體團隊在家工作的第一天，經過2周的測試，疫情之下，居家辦公，工作仍然持續進行。

#遠距工作已經成為未來工作不可避免的大趨勢 #遠距已經成為MUST
防疫是目前各國各行各業的核心，由此可知，不論是企業或學校已經漸漸進入部分或是全部遠距工作。

美國超過 8 成的公司引入了遠距辦公制度，超過 3000 萬人用這樣的方式工作；日本電氣公司計劃讓 6 萬名員工遠距工作；在中國大陸，已有近 1000 萬家企業、約 2 億人在家線上辦公。我想，即便在疫情接近尾聲和結束後，我們的工作形態也會持續往遠距工作的方向發展。

#6個秘訣幫你在疫情中找到職場轉機
對於現在正在求職的你，相信一定有很多疑慮和擔憂，目前疫情對於企業的招聘和面試流程有什麽影響？這裏有6個Tips和大家分享，希望我們都能在危機中看到轉機，更能利用轉機讓自己的職涯發展更順利！

✅Tip no. 1 – Life goes on and work goes on繼續投遞簡歷，繼續申請工作

不能因為心情低落，就完全廢在家裏，在現在這樣的經濟不穩定時期，各個公司都在重新審視自身的組織架構、所需職務、招聘流程以及未來的發展走向。不管這個疫情是再3個月、6個月，或是更長的時間，它總有結束的一天，所以很多雇主並沒有停止招聘。很多行業和很多公司都開始更多的需要可以遠距辦公的職位。所以，只要你繼續投遞簡歷，繼續申請工作，你就有機會在公司轉型的時間進入到一個新型的工作形態的職務當中。

✅Tip no. 2 – Update your CV 更新自己的簡歷

在你的簡歷中，不妨強調的遠距工作的經驗和能力，還有管理線上項目的經驗，在現在這樣的求職大環境中，這樣做一定是加分的。

✅Tip no. 3 – Be extra patient 保持耐心，永不放棄

公司就像人一樣，面對突如其來的危機也是無所適從，別驚訝，不是所有公司在疫情當下都有詳細的應對和執行計劃，所以，如果你申請了工作後，沒有很快得到回復，不需要太過焦慮，建議你發一封follow up email去追蹤一下你的工作申請進展。

✅Tip no. 4 – A new way of working – remotely 專注於搜尋遠距工作

既然知道目前的職場情況是往遠距工作發展，那就沖破自己心中的限制，直接找到遠距工作來做！目前在全球範圍內，有很多公司有完善的體系支持遠距員工，有些幾乎完全遠距工作的公司，團隊成員遍布世界各地，薪水待遇非常優。你可以在FlexJobs, We Work Remotely和Remote.co這三個網站去尋找相關工作機會。

👉FlexJobs - https://www.flexjobs.com/
👉We Work Remotely - https://weworkremotely.com/
👉Remote.co - https://remote.co/

❤️在這些專門的遠距工作網站上面，你可以找到非常高薪的職位，年薪超過台幣2百萬的都有，也有part-time的工作，一個月10個小時，也能帶來1000美金的收入，機會都在上面，等著你去挑戰！

✅Tip no. 5 – Get prepared for an online interview 隨時準備好線上面試

遠距工作的面試流程很多可能是在線上，所以你要隨時準備好應對，在面試中，需要清楚的表達你的遠距工作能力、獨立辦公能力和在團隊中遠距辦公的能力。建議你可以事先練習講講你的工作計劃和工作方式，還有你會如何高效率的安排你的一天。

✅Tip no. 6 – Carry on with our lives as normal as possible 保持身體健康照顧心情平穩

疫情讓全球職場產生巨變，在壓力下忙碌的找工作時，要注意自己的身心健康，尤其是在現在這種不太能出門的非常時期，要合理安排好每天的作息，工作、運動、讀書、吃飯、休息的時間，建立一個良好的生活作息，保持身體健康照顧心情平穩也是非常關鍵，因為，你要讓自己能夠放松下來，才能更好的面對未知。

*疫情持續蔓延發展中，文中數字為這幾天內的綜合整理，以最新實時更新為主。

#只要我們閃閃發光大家都會看到我們來自的地方
#大鎖國時代你必須主動規劃自己的幸福和前途
#你要的幸福自己做主
#Joyce聊成長
#Joyce聊遠距工作
#Joyce聊在家工作
#Joyce聊態度
#Joyce的國際工作生活規劃課程
#Joyce的遠距工作生活規劃課程
#我們都能擁有一點點不平凡
#另類成功
#另類youtuber
#WishtoWow

至於Joyce對於目前澳洲政府如何面對新型冠狀病毒疫情的觀察，這是昨天寫的英文文章：

✅No people, no virus.
✅Less contact, less chance of getting the virus.

⭕️We have to find a way to continue our lives as normal as possible, but with extreme precautions of course.

❗️CODIV-19 is getting out of control globally. To be honest, I really want to go back to my home island, Taiwan at the moment. I think a lot of my relatives in the UK and the US share the same feeling. Unfortunately, we don’t see that leaders of Australia, UK and US tackling this crisis with swift and accurate measures. Taiwan suffered from the SARS crisis back in 2003 and it had forced the island to create better defense system and immediate response mechanism towards outbreak of viruses.

❗️Taiwan has over 23 million people (similar to Australia. The population in Australia is about 24 million.) and it’s a very densely populated place. Geographically, we are very close to mainland China and because of this, a lot of people, including health professionals predicted that Taiwan would soon fall to COVID-19 and it would be very difficult to control it. But so far, the COVID-19 confirmed cases are 153 in Taiwan. Comparing to most European countries, America and Australia, COVID-19 is under control in Taiwan. And strict measures have been taking place continuously to ensure that it stays under control.

🚫So don’t tell me that wearing masks are not working; don’t tell me that working from home and closing schools & non-essential places are not working; don’t tell me about group immunity to an unknown virus when there are patients getting re-infected; don’t tell me that COVID-19 only attacks old people while there are over 50% of server cases that are under the age of 60 in ICU in a hospital in Italy; don’t tell me that COVID-19 doesn’t effect young people as there are 19 year-olds getting infected in Australia, China and South Korea. Some of them are also classified as server cases. In New York, there more than 10,000 confirm cases and 54% of them are young people between the age of 18-49; don’t tell me to get prepared to lose my loved ones while we witness some countries and regions are getting this crisis under control.

⭕️We can control this crisis by religiously practicing social distancing, wearing masks, washing hands, using hand sanitizer, monitoring our own temperature, stopping travels...the list goes on and these measures they do work. It really angers me to see that 4 cruise ships were given special permission to dock in Australia despite the 30-day coronavirus ban. And people are still heading to the beach in large numbers. Viruses do not count to 100 or 500 before they infect people. They don’t wait for 48 hours for the emergency rules to be effective. The only math they know is to multiply as quickly as they can. We all have the responsibility to carry out the measures that are effective to control this crisis. With no exceptions!

⭕️Time to learn from some more successful cases in dealing with COVID-19 - Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan...even China as it has managed to control it. We are also seeing slowing down in new cases in South Korea. And Australia’s neighbor - New Zealand is doing a great job in stopping the virus from spreading. The confirmed cases are still under 60. It’s not a time to urge or debate on which political ideology is better than others. It’s not a time to calculate certain parties’ business or political interests. It’s definitely wrong to blame Chinese or Asians for this virus. Viruses do not care if you are white, black, yellow, communist, socialist, capitalist or otherwise.

😂Something to laugh about in this crisis atmosphere - Shoppers in the Netherlands are panic buying weed. Toilet paper? Who cares! Meat? Don’t need it! Talking about priorities in different countries!

#疫情下的生活 #疫情快點結束 #遠離人群 #covid_19 #codvid19 #covid19italia #台灣防疫 #台灣防疫經驗

👉Joyce的不公開社團：Joyce的國際工作情報站
https://www.facebook.com/groups/joyceseestheworld
👉Joyce的IG：@joyceseesozandtheworld
https://www.instagram.com/joyceseesozandtheworld/
👉Joyce的不公開社團：Joyce的異國戀情分享園地
https://www.facebook.com/groups/joycetalkscrossculturalrelationship/
👉Joyce看世界就是不一樣offical website：https://www.joyceseestheworld.com/